The non-Corbynite majority of Labour MPs didnt have an alternative candidate either; hence their mood of gloom and fatalism. Support for the Labour Party has grown in the aftermath of the Autumn Statement, a new poll reveals today. He added: Real grown-ups would actually get everyone back around the table, unite the party, pull the trade unions back on board, build up our war chest and then go on to win the general election.. Approval ratings for former party leaders, Preferred Prime Minister and Chancellor polling, Question asked for joint approval of Ed Davey & Mark Pack, Opinion polling for the next United Kingdom general election, Opinion polling on the United Kingdom rejoining the European Union (2020present), https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Leadership_approval_opinion_polling_for_the_next_United_Kingdom_general_election&oldid=1141047708, Leadership approval opinion polling for United Kingdom general elections, Short description with empty Wikidata description, Wikipedia articles in need of updating from November 2022, All Wikipedia articles in need of updating, Wikipedia articles in need of updating from January 2022, Wikipedia articles in need of updating from October 2022, Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike License 3.0, This page was last edited on 23 February 2023, at 02:35. Keir Starmers wait-it-out approach may finally be beginning to pay dividends, two and a half years after he was elected Labour leader. The hire of Alli as chair of campaign financing was a particularly adroit decision, according to several MPs and party officials. 2. Having dealt with the party machinery at the last conference, the plan was always that the next one will focus on setting out our plans for Britain. The health service has been on its knees. . On this Wikipedia the language links are at the top of the page across from the article title. An Opinium poll sees the Labour leader struggling to make headway against a PM whose handling of the pandemic has gained approval. LONDON Keir Starmer wants big business to mold Labours election plans and get its fingerprints on his policy agenda. LONDON Keir Starmer wants big business to "mold" Labour's election plans and get its "fingerprints" on his policy agenda. But he has gone further, accepting neoliberal orthodoxy that concessions to workers hinder business and damage economic activity. Johnson was comprehensively outmanoeuvred. Asked if they wanted their home to remain British, Falkland Islanders said Yes by 99.8 per cent . Starmer has refused to cash in on the most visible sign of growing public discontent at Tory policies that continue to redistribute wealth upwards. The polls may be indicating a huge win for Labour at the next general election, but here's a reason Keir Starmer shouldn't be celebrating yet: Almost two in three voters want a new political party to take on the Conservatives and Labour, a shock new study of trust in politics has found. A government of which he was part had created the whole problem in the first place, of course, and one should never tire of saying so. ', asks Mark Dolan. All rights reserved. Sir Keir had started to close the gap in April, pollsters Opimium said, but in a survey held on 13 and 14 May, he garnered just 23% support as preferred prime minister. The get together was reeling from its worst efficiency on the poll field since 1935, riven by inner divisions, below hearth over its report of tackling antisemitism and going through an seemingly unassailable Boris Johnson atop an 80-seat majority. Ipsos publishes the latest results of UK opinion polls and voting intention. And he is now trailing Sir Keir as the most popular candidate to be Prime Minister. 61 per cent want 'completely new type of political . His internal opposition had largely given up and gone home, disgusted with the obvious distance he had put between himself and his predecessor, now not even a Labour MP. Not only is Labour considered a strong favorite to win the next election, but the moderate Labour right faction is now in firm control of the party an unthinkable position just a few years ago when the Corbynite left looked unassailable. Keir Starmers looking to the past and talking up a business role in the future in drive to fill party coffers. The 1997 quip by Mandelson that he was intensely relaxed about people getting filthy rich as long as they pay their taxes became something of guiding principle for the last Labour governments fundraising efforts. Instead, he has focused on reassuring voters - and the billionaire-owned media - that his party embodies the values associated with old-school conservatism: responsible belt-tightening, support for business, patriotism, law and order, the monarchy and militarism. Voters, it seems, finally agree. Sunak sets out Northern Ireland trade deal to MPs as Labour vow to back agreement as it happened, Original reporting and incisive analysis, direct from the Guardian every morning. Hence some of the changes to the leaders office which he has made since then. Instead, unlike Liz Truss, he prioritised the things where he could begin to shift the dial and build some political capital. X. Some of the more detailed polling questions, which have given Johnson the benefit of the doubt all year, have also turned. For Keir Starmer, things look much rosier. Labour extended its lead nationally to 27%, the widest margin it has held since Sunak became PM in October, while also opening up a lead of 28% in the Red Wall (another record lead . Opinion comes closest regarding having a lot of . What it shows is that these guys think Keir is going to win. The fact weve climbed out of the hole we were in was never a given. Cubus Follow. GBNEWS. Labour holds large leads over the Conservatives in each of our three tracker polls as the party most trusted on the economy, the NHS, and immigration. . If Blairites are now on the rise once again in the Labour Party, what about the man himself? LONDON (Reuters) -Keir Starmer, the leader of Britain's opposition Labour Party, has picked as his new chief of staff Sue Gray, a government official whose investigation helped catalyse the exit . Support for the Labour Party has grown in the aftermath of the Autumn Statement, a new poll reveals today.Aaron Chown. Want to bookmark your favourite articles and stories to read or reference later? Now that would shock people.. Meanwhile, Sunak continues to trail Keir Starmer in most of the country on the question of which would be the better Prime Minister at this moment. He was previously Director of Public Prosecutions from 2008 to 2013.. Starmer was born in London and raised in Surrey, where he . The questions differ slightly from pollster to pollster: Some pollsters ask voters which potential Prime Minister/Chancellor of the Exchequer pairing they would prefer: Rishi Sunak and Jeremy Hunt for the Conservative Party or Keir Starmer and Rachel Reeves for the Labour Party. Log in to access content and manage your profile. Much as I detest Starmer and the current Labour Party he will likely win back the ugly racist Brexit gammons who voted Tory or Farage last election, he won't loose safe seats like mine, and he won't care if a few of the more comfortable and liberal Tory seats flip Lib Dem. Political Monitor. The Opinium figures, which will raise further concerns within Labour over the party leader's performance, shows that the prime minister has a two-point lead over his opponent. With such a worldview, he is beholden to the City, not ordinary people. It was, mathematically, the result of the government and prime minister enjoying a vaccine boost in popularity, but it prompted bitter Corbynites to remind Blairites how they had predicted that under any other leader Labour would be 20 points ahead. However, many within Labours ranks found Starmers performance to be flat and criticised his line of questioning. Voices Keir Starmer can afford to be polite to Liz Truss for one key reason - he knows he is winning. However, while Labour has an overwhelming lead on every major poll as a party, the popularity battle between Rishi Sunak and Keir Starmer is far tighter. The man who would be Prime Minister addressed St. Columb's politics students and students from the . The Windsor Framework "gives enough" to end the Stormont stalemate, Sir Keir Starmer believes. Theres no complacency but we remain confident of the strategy we have to get Keir to No 10., Original reporting and incisive analysis, direct from the Guardian every morning. Starmer certainly is not doing so. Nobody wants to see industrial action that is disruptive.. 29 days ago . The prime minister suddenly hit real unpopularity in the last month of the year. Latest news, analysis and comment on German politics and beyond. Why wont anyone tell me anything?. In a nationally representative poll taken August 26th to 29th, Keir Starmer leads Liz Truss by 10 points or more on: And also by 11 points for each of paying attention to detail (41% to 30%), being a capable leader (38% to 27%) and they are going to make the country a better place (35% to 24%). Starmer clearly believes very firmly in the corrupt FPTP system as . As a strategy to win an election the speech "did the trick". , Bloomberg. Adam Drummond, Opinium's head of political polling, said: "Keir Starmer's ratings have taken a tumble as Labour voters begin to fear that he isn't the one to lead the party back to power. It is a dramatic capitulation for a party in opposition that grew out of the activities of the trade union movement and still affirms on its website that its affiliation with leading unions is what makes [Labour] unique. Public Sector. Starmer holds an approval rating of -6, unchanged from two weeks ago. And further underscoring how divorced she is from the public mood, Truss intends to reverse a planned rise in what is a historically low rate of corporation tax. Although his approval rating in the Blue Wall fell two points in February to now stand at +6%, his rating in both the Red Wall (+14%) and GB (+13%) are up by six and four points respectively. The Socialist Campaign Group of MPs did not have the numbers to trigger a leadership election, let alone a candidate; Rayner had been one of theirs but she had compromised with the ideological enemy in the party. 2023 Starmer is determined to beat the Tories at their own game, vowing to fight the election on economic growth. "Labour's poor position today is the result of factors both out of their control and things they should be deeply concerned with.". Even in the lowest months of the summer, there was no serious talk of a leadership challenge. but more one-sided than a North Korean election held at gunpoint. The choreography of the protocol deal was also bold. Only 29% of voters think Sir Keir looks like a prime minister in waiting, including 48% of people who voted Labour in 2019's general election. And, in a further nod to the business-friendly New Labour days of the 1990s and 2000s, hes even tapping Tony Blairs moneymen to fund his bid for power. First, it has suggested that Sunak is capable of rebuilding at least some of the reputation for Conservative competence. Latest news, analysis and comment on defense in Europe and beyond. But the publics view of the the Labour leader himself appears to be becoming more negative, following weeks in which he has been accused of failing to be more forceful on the cost of living. Some 75% approve of the government's handling of the vaccine rollout. Starmers Labour increasingly looks like a pale replica of the modern Conservative Party, which publicly extols the virtues of unfettered markets while privately skewing the economic battle-space in big businesss favour - a covert socialism, but for the rich only. His job approval rating is bumping along at -26. Date(s) His team say Starmers main task has been repairing the partys internal workings after the strife during Jeremy Corbyns leadership. Please help update this article to reflect recent events or newly available information. Only 17% say a Conservative government with Rishi Sunak as prime minister. Data are weighted. He has been Member of Parliament (MP) for Holborn and St Pancras since 2015. And, in a further nod to the business-friendly "New Labour" days of the 1990s and 2000s, he's even tapping Tony Blair's moneymen to fund his bid for power. However, it is not all bad news for Starmer. A poll released on the Monday of conference put Labour 17 points . The following polls asked about voters' opinions on Nigel Farage, leader of the Reform UK, formerly named Brexit Party, until 6 March 2021. War in Ukraine overturned the political landscape. LONDON: Keir Starmer, the leader of Britain's opposition Labour Party, has picked as his new chief of staff Sue Gray, a government official whose investigation helped catalyse the exit of Boris . The protocol deal has not yet been approved. Jeremy Corbyn approval rating . It is a dramatic capitulation for a party in opposition that grew out of the activities of the trade union movement. Approval for the government's handling of the pandemic is at its highest since mid-April last year, with 47% of adults happy and 33% disapproving. Labour also still hold a lead of 10 points over the Conservatives in terms of overall voting intentions, broadly in line with our figures for June and likely to see the Labour party win a majority if an election were tomorrow.. Do you believe Keir Starmer's words? Lucy Powell described partygate investigator Sue Gray - who plans to join Labour as Sir Keir Starmer's chief of staff - as "impartial" and "really good at her job". Left-wing party members who joined during Corbyns tenure have been fleeing in droves, depriving Labour of desperately needed income to fight the next general election. At a time of major problems in the NHSfrom backlogged waiting lists, to strikes by ambulance drivers, nurses and junior doctorsdominating many voters thoughts, voters in the Blue Wall (30%), the Red Wall (36%), and the country at large (44%) all notably select the NHS/Healthcare as the issue they most trust his party to deliver on. Not least, he has shredded the pledges he made during his campaign for the Labour leadership, policy commitments he sold Labour members as evidence he would serve as the continuity candidate for his left-wing predecessor, Jeremy Corbyn. Please refresh the page or navigate to another page on the site to be automatically logged inPlease refresh your browser to be logged in, The opinion polls have turned in the Labour leaders favour vindicating his strategic patience, Find your bookmarks in your Independent Premium section, under my profile. Hes a lawyer hes learning his brief.. Prince Harry set to lose crucial royal role as bitter feud could se 'Whats up with government by WhatsApp? But that was before the UK's tremendously successful COVID-19 vaccination programme got under way in December, something that seems to have been among the reasons for Mr Johnson's popularity. A senior Labour source said: We know what needs to be done between now and the next election and are ticking everything off on the list. Having Tony introduce Keir at the next Labour conference? He also had the shameless Johnson and the Faragiste Tory press bursting to make trouble. But among Labour voters, 65% were in favour, and 18% opposed. Most voters in Britain dont have Europe or Northern Ireland on their minds anyway. He has lots of experience. politics . . His dullness became steadiness; his earnestness became a serious leader for serious times. Sir Keir Starmer's Labour Party is out of touch with public opinion, poll has found. Another shadow cabinet minister agreed. Its much less normalized compared to the U.S. and there are much bigger negatives to it in the U.K. aside from the pragmatic arguments. A moderate Labour MP said we cant be shy about raising money from private individuals, especially if they want to win big at the next election. The latest news, data and analysis on the worlds pandemic response. Labour MPs and party officials say the fundraising operation is far more professionalized than at any other point during Labours last 13 years in the wilderness. While 50% of voters in Britain still see the Government Sunak leads as incompetent, the Governments net competency rating is only marginally lower now than it was in late January (down one point to -34%). Starmer has ensured that the two dominant parties in Britain, like those in the United States, are both unapologetically of capital. Labour extended its lead nationally to 27%, the widest margin it has held since Sunak became PM in October, while also opening up a lead of 28% in the Red Wall (another record lead with Sunak as Prime Minister). For one thing, the protocol deal may stumble. Even Blairs former manager for high value fundraising Vanessa Bowcock is back in a similar role in Starmers office. When politics resumes next week, the Labour leader will have a (courteous) spring in his step In March, Boris Johnson's net approval rating rose to +3, meaning that the PM now has a better net approval rating than Keir Starmer for the first time since April 2020. He was at the center of a police investigation into the so-called cash for honors scandal in 2006, which saw claims that seats in the House of Lords were being offered in exchange for large unregistered loans to the Labour Party. 2023. Labour leader Keir Starmer addresses the annual Labour Party conference in Brighton, England, on 9 September 2021 (AFP) Keir Starmer's wait-it-out approach may finally be . Sir Keir took over his party's leadership from Jeremy Corbyn in April last year, and by September the party was ahead of the Conservatives in some polls for the first time since Mr Johnson became prime minister. Most of what was unveiled notably the green and red lanes and the dispute resolution system has been on the table for years. A People Polling poll for GB News, conducted on February . A poll by YouGov last week revealed 51% of voters say they would vote for Labour in a general election, with just 23% of people saying they would vote Tory. The following polls asked about voters' opinions on Liz Truss, leader of the Conservative Party and Prime Minister of the United Kingdom from 6 September 2022 and until 25 October 2022. This takeover of party machinery has crucially extended to the partys finances and fundraising efforts. In a similar vein, Starmer has strictly distanced Labour from the spate of strikes breaking out as workers struggle with escalating costs, despite earlier committing towork shoulder to shoulder with the unions to stand up for working people, tackle insecure work and low pay Oppose Tory attacks on the right to take industrial action and the weakening of workplace rights., While Starmer has agreed, when pressed, that workers have a right to strike in principle, his office has condemned strikes, like the rail unions, when they actually take place. As February ends, the Prime Minister remains mired in an extended poll slump, while the Labour leader and his party continue to ride high. Speaking alongside Blair-era Minister Peter Mandelson at a business roundtable in late January, Starmer said he wanted to extract as much as I can from you, have a really grown-up conversation, and also for you to see that it is possible to mold, have your fingerprints on what were doing, two people presenttold POLITICO. politics . If you had said the morning after the 2019 election Labour could be back in one term, people would have laughed at you. . 27 per cent of people are satisfied with how he is performing in his job while 34 per cent are dissatisfied, for a net approval rating of -6 (accounting for rounding). Johnsons poor approval ratings have improved slightly at -27, compared with -30 two weeks ago. This represents a five-point jump for Labour when compared to polling carried out by the channel last week, and no movement at all for the Conservatives, who remain on 21% of the vote. In late June, he formally ditched those promises, saying Labour would be starting from scratch. . The date range for opinion polls is from the 2019 United Kingdom general election, held on 12 December, to the present day. Robert Struthers of BMG told i: Keir Starmer will have been hoping for a polling bounce following his big announcement on freezing energy bills to tackle the energy crisis at the beginning of this week. It also enjoys some electoral advantages over Labour. The following polls asked about voters' opinions on Keir Starmer, leader of the Labour Party and Leader of the Opposition since April 2020. Indeed, Labours biggest backer, the union Unite, has reduced its contributions to the party in retaliation for Starmers efforts to shift away from the socialist policies of Corbyn. But allow some credit where it is due to Sunak. Opinion Rishi Sunak. Only a minority of 2019 Conservative Party voters, 43%, back a Sunak-led Conservative government to manage the economy. But the work that Keir has been doing to reform the party, often without fanfare, means that we can seriously talk about winning the next election. Sunak was on top of the detail. New polling, conducted by Ipsos between 3rd-5th February, shows the public are more likely to apply several leadership traits to Keir Starmer than Rishi Sunak. Although his net approval fell to -22% nationally on 18 February, his lowest ever, he ends the month having gained a marginal point from his January rating in both the Red Wall and in Great Britain (up to -17% in both). While 28% think Johnson would make the best prime minister, 26% opted for Starmer. And Ipsos MORI has Starmer 13 points ahead, while other pollsters also show him outperforming his party. Gray, who has decades of government experience, came into the national spotlight last year for her damning investigation into the partygate scandal, a series of law-breaking . 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In an interview with the New Statesman last month, Tarry offered a damning assessment of the Labour leader, accusing him of tearing the party apart to erase any trace of Corbynism, despite his predecessor taking the party in 2017 to within an inch of an election victory. It also reveals that Starmers party holds a narrow two-point lead, compared with a three-point lead in the last poll a fortnight ago. Jacob Rees-Mogg has joined in with the chorus of Tories trying to undermine Sue Gray 's report, after her new appointment as Keir Starmer's chief of staff - but his own words have now come . The Labour leader has made a dirty word of socialism and shown that his own word counts for nothing. Boris Johnson makes a better prime minister than Keir Starmer would despite Partygate, the cost of living crisis and the confidence vote in Johnson held by his MPs, according to the latest Observer poll.. Polling for Ipsos MORI showed the Tories taking the lead in front of Labour again amid a vaccine bou If you do not have an account you can register here. The findings which show the Liberal Democrats on 11 per cent, the Greens on 5 per cent and Reform UK on 3 per cent suggest Sir Keir is currently on course to become Prime Minister at the next general election and may win a Commons majority. On policy delivery, the Government continues to struggle massively on the three key issues of the economy, the NHS, and immigration. The Labour leader is rated better on dealing with the cost of living than both Rishi Sunak and Liz Truss. The damage done by the polarisation, recklessness, venality and destructiveness of the May-Johnson-Truss years casts long shadows that will shape the politics of this decade. These signs of change should be watched seriously, because the Tory party has history as an election winner. But theres no sense of what the wider project is.. Even as Labour drew level in voting intention polls in November, Starmer limped behind Johnson in the preferred prime minister polling. But Starmers success - assuming it can be maintained - has come at an extraordinarily high political price. Under the British systems two-horse race, he reckoned he needed to do no more than position himself as the least bad option. When asked who is best to manage the economy in the years ahead, 30% say a Labour government with Sir Keir Starmer as Prime Minister. Sir Keir Starmer - Labour Party Leader. Different polling companies report widely differing figures on this question, but even Savanta ComRes, long the least favourable to Starmer, now has him two points ahead of Johnson when people are asked: Which of the following do you think would make the best prime minister? Starmer on 33 per cent and Johnson on 31 per cent are both eclipsed by dont know on 36 per cent, but politics is a game of relative advantage. The job of being Leader of the Opposition is, famously, the most thankless available in British politics. Such criteria would presumably be based on an assessment of public opinion in Scotland over a sustained period: a consistent, long-running lead for independence in opinion polls, say, or in election results (measured, as the SNP have recently suggested, in terms of a vote share of over 50 per cent for independence-supporting parties). None of this means Sunak is suddenly the effective and successful leader that the Tory party has lacked for so long. "Any opposition would be struggling against a government riding the success of the vaccine rollout and the last time the government's approval figures for the pandemic were this positive the Conservatives held a 17 point lead. For Sunak personally, his approval rating, despite some fluctuations, ends February more or less where it was at the end of January. But his U-turn looks all the more foolhardy given the current energy crisis and the Tory governments massive bailouts of suppliers. This was a fall of six points, while Mr Johnson saw his popularity climb by eight points to 40%. If Starmers mid-year trough was the mathematical product of Johnsons vaccine-induced rise, his end-year breakthrough could be dismissed as the mere reflection of the prime ministers unpopularity but it feels more soundly based than that. This is especially true for Labour voters, more than half of whom blame Truss (44%) or Sunak (10%) for the current crisis while only 11% blame global events. It was an attempt to turn Starmers weaknesses into strengths. Sorting the protocol was in that category, a sensible bit of ground-clearing and confidence-building. Labour looks to Keir Starmer's readiness to pounce. When asked who they blamed for the crisis, voters placed equal weight on Liz Truss (21%) and the war in Ukraine (21%). "The Labour leader has taken a significant fall across all metrics in the last two weeks, particularly being a strong leader, looking like a prime minister in waiting, and being able to get things done.